Odds for Crystals in 84/85 Sets

i pulled micah once and saquon 3 times, but like a month ago when that set first came out.. sold em all :/ at various price slol

archaicwarrior said:

yeah i know, but i think they lowered the odds on the crystals after seasons 1, theres ton of video evidence of people pulling them in season one out of those packs, in season 2 ive yet to see anyone pull it out the pack. i personally havent even tho i rip in batches of 10

there were less 84s and 85s in season 1 lol.  there are wayyyyy more 84s and 85s to reduce the odds now

archaicwarrior said:

yeah thats what im saying, i think they did something to the pull rates on them, its wild how ive seen people in my discord open 50 of those packs in 1 opening with not 1 pull

the amount of diff 84s and 85s has increased a ton

I did a little more then a mil into them the other day

didn’t pull

twitchtaxpro said:

there were less 84s and 85s in season 1 lol.  there are wayyyyy more 84s and 85s to reduce the odds now

yeah im aware of that, just feels like they've been made more rare, which isnt normally how it goes in mut as the season goes on

archaicwarrior said:

yeah im aware of that, just feels like they've been made more rare, which isnt normally how it goes in mut as the season goes on

Surtain is diet cheap bc of redux so the overall cost is down

twitchtaxpro said:

Surtain is diet cheap bc of redux so the overall cost is down

when they dropped it cost 3 mill for all 3. 300 for micah, 500 for barkley, and 1.6 for surtain, now micah is 1.1, barkley is 2.4 and surtain ltd is still 1 mill but his redux is like 400k 3.9 mill vs 3 mill, its only got more expensive

archaicwarrior said:

when they dropped it cost 3 mill for all 3. 300 for micah, 500 for barkley, and 1.6 for surtain, now micah is 1.1, barkley is 2.4 and surtain ltd is still 1 mill but his redux is like 400k 3.9 mill vs 3 mill, its only got more expensive

Surtain was at 2.7m, saw 900k, Micah 500k.  That price you said was day 2 before it settled

twitchtaxpro said:

Surtain was at 2.7m, saw 900k, Micah 500k.  That price you said was day 2 before it settled

so 4.2 vs 3.9 mill. im also using pc prices as im on pc

phatalerror said:

There were something like 150 unique 84’s and 85’s a little less than a couple of weeks ago, when I made about 20 or 30 attempts and came up empty. I still came out ahead because I was pulling Team Builders and some strong 84 and 85 Cores. So many of the 84’s and 85’s that had been valuable are now worth far less than the individual value of each component 82 OVR item. Stay away from these sets. They can lose you a lot of money quickly on balance.

There are currently 221 auctionable 84's and 85's that can be pulled from packs. If the distributions are evenly weighted (which I believe they might be for the frequency with which I pulled 85's and not 84's: There are 83 84-OVR items, as opposed to 138 85-OVR items), that's a less-than-one-percent chance to pull either Parsons or Barkley.

According to my math, there are 223 players you could possibly pull from that set (excluding platinum cards). There is 2 Crystal players that you could pull from said set, so the odds of pulling one is 2/223 or approx. 0.0089%.

weplaythose said:

According to my math, there are 223 players you could possibly pull from that set (excluding platinum cards). There is 2 Crystal players that you could pull from said set, so the odds of pulling one is 2/223 or approx. 0.0089%.

You won't pull Gauntlet items, so that's where the other two are being accounted for.